Winning Strategies for Soccer Draw Predictions

Football draws tips

Draws are a pretty common result in soccer. How to Predict Draws in Soccer? which matches are more likely to end in a draw. We will discuss it while providing you with the latest betting advice!

There are tons of wagers in soccer. There are even wagers that rely on predicting the soccer match ending with a draw.

One of the most popular soccer bet is WinDrawWin wager. It is quite simple, you have to predict whether a match will end with a home win or away win or draw. There is also the same bet but considering only the half-time.

Double Chance wager gives you more chances to win. You need to correctly guess two of the three outcomes to win this bet. 

In Both Team To Score, you will only need to decide if any of the teams will score in the match or not. Win and Both Teams to Score are quite similar to the previous bet but with the twist of adding which team will be the winner.

Over or Under Score is a common soccer betting. You will need to bet if the total goals scored in a match will be over or under a certain amount given by the bookmakers. The odds are great with this soccer bet. 

Then there is a Correct Score prediction which is a bit tougher to predict. Because you need to correctly predict the exact final score of the match. A soccer match may end with different scoreboards depending on the factors. Even with a draw the match might end with both teams not scoring at all or both teams with the same goal score such as 1 – 1 or 2 – 2 or 3 – 3 and so on.  

Knowing which matches will end with a draw will raise your chances of earning more profits from the soccer wagers.

Chances of draws

The chances of draws in soccer matches are higher than other sports because of the game’s structure, playtime, and rules. The winner of a soccer match is determined by the goals scored by both teams. It is a sport with lesser scoring points comparing with other sports. There are basically three outcomes of a soccer match. The match may have different results but it will end with a home win or away win or draw. Chances of draws can be found using simple probability calculations. The percentage of matches ending with a draw in the Premier League is around 27.52%. The teams at the upper side of the table are stated to have 15% draws in a season. While the matches with middle-tier teams of the tables faced with each other are likely to result in a draw. We can see from the statistics of previous seasons that middle-tier teams of the table such as Stoke City, West Brom, Aston Villa had the most draws in a season. The chances of draws increase or decrease depending on these situations. The teams with equal power usually end up drawing with each other. 

Draw predictions

Draw predictions require a lot of collection of data. Suppose a league match where total goals are between two equal teams is 2.5. So, they will both have the chance of 1.25 goals. By using Poisson distribution, we can predict draws of soccer matches. The probability of draws differs from different scores. It also depends on a team’s current form and scoring abilities.

Predict matches

You can predict matches resulting in a draw using various strategies which includes calculating the Poisson distribution of the teams. Preparing beforehand to know the previous scores of the teams in the season, average goals score, average home win/ away win/ draws, etc. Different leagues have different situations. The teams which have low scoring abilities usually draw more often. The chances of goals greatly determine to draw in a match. Competitive matches usually have more goals. This can also help with determining the winner of matches on other circumstances. By using the draw predictions mentioned, you can figure out the situation of the teams, compare them and predict the match accordingly.